Track Record · public receipts

The stocks we saw first.

Over 324 closed MegaTrends positions, the average winning trade ran +83% while the average loser was capped at -29%. 27 wins of 100% or more. Every entry, every exit, every consumer-data signal that flagged the move months before Wall Street caught on. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Biggest win · closed
+611%
HOMEAt Home Group
May 2020 → July 2021 · 14 months
Biggest 2025 win
+557%
HOODRobinhood Markets
April 2024 → September 2025 · 18 months
Most recent · 2026
+227%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices
June 2025 → May 2026 · 11 months
15+
Years of consumer data
527
Stocks tracked
100K+
Investors
Top-4
US brokerages partner with us
Live · auto-updated

Just closed in PRO.

Fresh exits from our active model portfolios — pulled live from the platform. Updates within minutes of a position closing.

Closed
RDW
+104%
May 2026 · 13 days
$11.46 → $23.36
Closed
RCLRoyal Caribbean
+360%
Mar 2023 → May 2026 · ~38 months
$61.75 → $284.19
Closed
GOOGL
+15%
Apr 2026 → May 2026 · 9 days
$344.45 → $394.80
ClosedShort
VRSN
+8%
Apr 2026 · 4 days
Short $275.88 → Cover $255.00

The greatest hits.

Five wins everyone remembers — each called on consumer-data signals months before earnings revealed the move. They're the marquee names off a deeper bench: 27 closed positions of 100%+ and 149 winning trades overall. Keep scrolling for the rest.

Curated · 5 of 149 winning trades
HOMEAt Home GroupClosed
+611%
May 2020 → Jul 2021 · ~14 months
Entry$3.24 May 2020
Close$23.43 Jul 2021

Pandemic nesting surge in consumer-search data 4 months before management raised guidance. Home-improvement spend spiked across our brand maps while Wall Street kept rate-cycle assumptions intact.

How it played out
May 2020
Position opened — search volume +180% YoY
Aug 2020
First earnings beat. Stock +120%
Apr 2021
Take-private rumored. Stock +480%
Jul 2021
Closed at $23.43 — +611.35%
HOODRobinhood MarketsClosed
+556%
Apr 2024 → Sep 2025 · ~18 months
Entry$13.71 Apr 2024
Close$90.04 Sep 2025

Retail-trading mentions doubled while sentiment flipped positive — pre-earnings. Our app-install share data showed HOOD pulling ahead of legacy brokerages during the 2024 retail wave.

How it played out
Apr 2024
Position opened — mention volume +112% MoM
Aug 2024
Q2 print beats consensus by 22%. +89%
Feb 2025
Crypto trading volume inflection. +280%
Sep 2025
Closed at $90.04 — +556.63%
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesClosed
+227%
Jun 2025 → May 2026 · ~11 months
Entry$126.40 Jun 2025
Close$413.11 May 2026

Consumer + B2B mention velocity for AMD enterprise AI accelerators surged vs NVDA mid-2025. Our brand-map data caught the design-win cadence pivot before any sell-side analyst flagged the share shift.

How it played out
Jun 2025
Position opened at $126.40 — AI accelerator share inflection
Aug 2025
MI300 design-win cadence accelerates. +60%
Feb 2026
Hyperscaler reorder data shows AMD share gains. +180%
May 2026
Closed at $413.11 — +226.83%
COINCoinbase GlobalClosed
+445%
May 2023 → Nov 2024 · ~18 months
Entry$46.20 May 2023
Close$251.79 Nov 2024

App-install share surging vs Robinhood as crypto-regulation clarity priced in. Our consumer-survey data showed conversion intent doubling among 25-34 cohort six months pre-ETF.

How it played out
May 2023
Position opened — BTC bottom thesis
Jan 2024
BTC ETF approval. +210%
Oct 2024
Election clarity. +380%
Nov 2024
Closed at $251.79 — +444.96%
NVDANvidiaClosed
+257%
Sep 2022 → Nov 2023 · <14 months
Entry$13.30 Sep 2022
Close$47.50 Nov 2023

Enterprise AI mentions tripled six months before the H100 supply shock. We tracked the shift from 'crypto miner' to 'AI accelerator' in our B2B data before any sell-side analyst flagged it.

How it played out
Sep 2022
Position opened — 'AI training' mention spike
Feb 2023
ChatGPT moment. +60%
May 2023
Q1 guide blowout. +160%
Nov 2023
Closed at $47.50 — +257.14%
Plenty more where those came from. 22 more closed positions ran 100%+. Walk the full bench below.
See all 27 of 100%+
The math behind the receipts

The asymmetry is the edge.

Across 206 closed MegaTrends positions, we win a little more than half the time. Where the edge lives: our winners run nearly 3x the size of our losers.

51%
Win rate
We win about half the time.
+83%
Average winning trade
When we win, we win big.
-29%
Average losing trade
When we lose, we lose small.

“Winners running nearly 3x the size of losers — that's the edge consumer-behavior data buys you.”

Every ticker that doubled — or better.

27 closed MegaTrends positions gained 100% or more — across 23 tickers. Best closed gain per ticker shown.

HOME
Closed
+611.3%
May 2020Jul 2021
14 mo hold
HOOD
Closed
+556.6%
Apr 2024Sep 2025
18 mo hold
COIN
Closed
+445.0%
May 2023Nov 2024
18 mo hold
RCL
Closed
+360.2%
Mar 2023May 2026
38 mo hold
NVDA
Closed
+257.1%
Sep 2022Nov 2023
14 mo hold
AMD
Closed
+226.8%
Jun 2025May 2026
11 mo hold
DKNG
Closed
+217.7%
Jun 2022Dec 2023
18 mo hold
CROX
Closed
+213.0%
May 2020Jan 2022
20 mo hold
PLTR
Closed
+211.9%
Nov 2021Nov 2024
36 mo hold
ZM
Closed
+192.2%
Mar 2020Nov 2020
8 mo hold
RDFN
Closed
+189.2%
Mar 2020May 2021
14 mo hold
CHWY
Closed
+160.3%
Mar 2020Mar 2021
12 mo hold
ROKU
Closed
+151.5%
Mar 2020Nov 2021
20 mo hold
LRN
Closed
+145.1%
Jan 2024Jun 2025
17 mo hold
LNW
Closed
+128.4%
Jun 2022Jul 2024
25 mo hold
TTD
Closed
+127.2%
Mar 2020May 2021
14 mo hold
AAPL
Closed
+121.5%
Apr 2020Apr 2022
24 mo hold
META
Closed
+114.4%
Sep 2022Nov 2023
14 mo hold
MRVL
Closed
+111.0%
Apr 2020Apr 2022
24 mo hold
PTON
Closed
+107.2%
Mar 2020Nov 2021
20 mo hold
RDW
Closed
+103.8%
May 2026May 2026
13 days hold
DUOL
Closed
+101.6%
Feb 2022Feb 2024
24 mo hold
MSFT
Closed
+100.4%
Mar 2020Mar 2022
24 mo hold
All positions reflect the public MegaTrends research record. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

13 winners still open.

The Swans hold these right now. Eight of them are running over +159% on the entry. Tickers blurred — PRO subscribers see entry, current, and target on every position.

TICKER
+2221.8%
Since Apr 2018
Unlock all 16 positions
TICKER
+455.7%
Since Jan 2022
Unlock all 16 positions
TICKER
+224.2%
Since Oct 2023
Unlock all 16 positions
TICKER
+212.8%
Since Feb 2023
Unlock all 16 positions
TICKER
+198.0%
Since Mar 2020
Unlock all 16 positions
TICKER
+184.2%
Since Apr 2020
Unlock all 16 positions
TICKER
+178.8%
Since Feb 2021
Unlock all 16 positions
TICKER
+168.7%
Since Dec 2019
Unlock all 16 positions

Real subscribers.
Real dollars.

Verified quotes from LikeFolio research subscribers, used with permission. Results not typical and not guaranteed.

Put around $10K into LEU when you added it to the portfolio. Made $14K profit as of yesterday. Your system is amazing and makes total sense now.
Matt E.
Oct 17, 2025 · LikeFolio PRO
+$14K on LEU
I bought 3,000 shares at $26 and sold them all at $84 for a $186,000 win. I also still own 10,000 shares of RR and INVZ which are both doing quite well.
Ray P.
Sept 25, 2025 · LikeFolio PRO
+$186K on OKLO
Subscriber-reported figures
My entire portfolio has been over 100% this past week. Still at 101.33% after today. Gained $2,467 selling the rest of my HOOD position.
David S.
Sept 24, 2025 · LikeFolio PRO
Portfolio +101%
15+ years·527 stocks tracked·100K+ investors·Licensed to top-4 US brokerages

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